News & Insights

In this month’s report we describe our Economic Outlook for FY 2019. SuMi TRUST has updated its real GDP forecast for Japan for the next fiscal year ending March 2020 (FY 2019). Finally, we will introduce capital expenditures related companies that SuMi TRUST is paying close attention to.

SuMi TRUST has updated its operating profit forecast for the Nikkei 225 for the current fiscal year ending March 2019 (FY2018) and the next fiscal year ending March 2020 (FY2019).

The revised Immigration Control and Refugee Recognition Act was enacted by the Diet in December 2018 to expand the number of foreign workers. The Japanese government will establish a new residency qualification which officially enables foreign workers to be engaged in unskilled labour in order to deal with the serious labour shortage. This month, we take a look at the revised Immigration Act in more detail and consider what the impact may be for the Japanese economy.

1.Osaka-Kansai World Expo 2025 On 23 November, 2018, the 170 Member States of the Bureau International des Expositions (BIE) elected Japan to be the host of the 2025 World Expo during the 164th General Assembly of the BIE. Expo 2025 will take place in Osaka, the first expo to take place in the city since 1970. In this month, we take a look at the Osaka-Kansai Expo in more detail and consider what may be the impact for Japanese economy. 2.Market Review

Topic of the month １．Japan’s Sharing Economy as part of its "Regional Revitalization“ ２．Market Review

1. Outlook for the Japanese economy as well as the impact of the 2019 consumption tax hike This year, we saw serious damage in Japan from disasters such as heavy snowfalls, heavy rains, typhoons, and earthquakes. Looking forward to next year, we expect the next consumption tax hike will be implemented in October 2019 as planned. Some people are concerned over how much these factors will impact the Japanese economy. However, our outlook for the Japanese economy remains positive, and we expect to see a gradual recovery. 2. Market Review