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Market Review for June 2021

TOPIX ended up on the previous month-end. The Japanese equity market was driven by the US equity market throughout the month. At the beginning of the month, the market rose on the good progress of the vaccination program in Japan. The market plunged after an earlier than expected tapering was hinted at by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) followed by a sharp fall in the US equity market. However, the market gradually offset the fall as US interest rate stopped rising towards the month-end.

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Japan's Governance Code Revision

In June, a revised Corporate Governance Code was released. The Code was revised taking the reform of the Japanese stock market into consideration. It will go into effect in April next year, with the top-tier listings going into the Prime Market corresponding to the current First Section of the Tokyo Stock Exchange(TSE).
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Market Review for May 2021

TOPIX ended up on the previous month-end. The market was supported by a pause in the rising number of COVID-19 cases in Japan and expectations for the progress of vaccination program whilst the market was temporarily impacted by a plunge of US IT stocks following a hike in US treasury rate in mid-month. The state of emergency in Japan which was extended by another month to mid-June but it did not affect the market.

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Vaccination and the Japanese Economy

Japan has seen the biggest delay in the roll out of vaccines among the major nations of the world. The government is currently taking various measures to accelerate vaccinations due to a sense of crisis, and it is expected that the vaccine will spread to the general public by the latter half of the year.
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Market Review for April 2021

TOPIX ended down on the previous month-end. The third announcement of the state of emergency in Japan due to resurgence of COVID-19 cases weighed the market. The COVID-19 vaccination campaign in Japan has been slow compared with other developed countries due to supply shortage and delays, which depressed the market.

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Are Japanese Equities in a Bubble?

Some market participants believe that Japanese stocks are in a bubble. However, compared to the bubble period of the late-1980s to 1990, I believe the situation today is very different. By comparing the current market with that of the bubble period (late-1980s to 1990) from multiple perspectives, I would like to forecast the future of Japanese stocks.
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Market Review for March 2021

TOPIX ended up 4.80% on the previous month-end. The expectations for global COVID-19 vaccinations and US additional economic stimulus underpinned the Japanese equity market although concerns over the hike in US interest rates still remained. The Bank of Japan decided at a monetary policy meeting that they would exclude Nikkei 225 ETF from their ETF buying list, which impacted the Nikkei 225 index.

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The Need for a Central Bank Digital Currency

Central Bank Digital Currencys (CBDC) are becoming a hot topic in the market. Although CBDCs still face multiple issues such as the eroding the function of financial intermediaries and countermeasures against cyberattacks, central banks need to secure currency sovereignty through the issuance of CBDC in order to ensure the effectiveness of monetary policy.
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Market Review for February 2021

TOPIX ended up 3.08% on the previous month-end. The expectations for a recovery of company’s earnings and US additional economic stimulus pushed the market higher. The market lost the momentum in the latter half of the month due to the decline of the US equity market following a sharp hike in US bond yield but closed higher than the previous month-end.